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AI and the Potato Industry

Artificial Intelligence for the Potato Industry — Growers, Industry & Partners

Sidney Shapiro, PhD

Assistant Professor of Business Analytics

Dhillon School of Business

University of Lethbridge

Practical AI Exercises for Potato Growers

Hands-on practice scenarios to help you understand how to use AI tools effectively in your operation

How to Use These Exercises

These exercises provide real-world scenarios you might encounter in your potato growing operation. Each exercise includes:

  • A realistic scenario based on common farming challenges
  • An example of how to frame your question to an AI tool
  • What to verify before implementing the AI's recommendations
  • Follow-up questions to refine the results

Remember: Always verify AI recommendations with your own expertise and start with low-risk applications.

Exercise 1: Yield Prediction Analysis

Time: ~10 min · Level: Starter

📁 Your data file

Yield_Data_2020_2024.csv

Historical yield, planting/harvest dates, soil pH, organic matter, and weather-related columns (2020–2024). Use as the “attached spreadsheet” in your prompt.

Sample (first row of the file):

year variety field_id yield_tons_per_ha planting_date harvest_date soil_pH organic_matter_pct avg_growing_temp_c rainfall_mm notes
2020 Russet Burbank F02 32.2 2020-05-24 2020-09-02 5.3 2.0 20.7 152

Column headers: year – season year; variety – potato variety (e.g. Russet Burbank); field_id – field identifier; yield_tons_per_ha – yield in tons per hectare; planting_date and harvest_date – key dates; soil_pH and organic_matter_pct – soil test values; avg_growing_temp_c and rainfall_mm – growing-season weather; notes – optional comments (e.g. ideal conditions, dry spell).

Scenario:

You want to predict this year's yield for your Russet Burbank potatoes. You have historical yield data from the past 5 years, current soil test results, weather data, and planting dates.

Example AI Prompt:

"Based on my yield data from 2020-2024 (attached spreadsheet), current soil test results showing pH 5.8 and 2.5% organic matter, and the 14-day weather forecast predicting average temperatures of 18°C with 120mm rainfall, predict my expected yield for Russet Burbank potatoes planted on May 15th. Provide a range (low, medium, high) and explain the key factors affecting the prediction."

What to Verify:

  • Check that the AI used your actual historical data correctly
  • Verify the yield range is realistic based on your experience
  • Confirm the factors mentioned align with your knowledge
  • Compare predictions with similar years in your records

Follow-up Questions:

  • "What would the prediction be if I planted 5 days earlier?"
  • "How would a 20% increase in fertilizer affect the yield estimate?"
  • "What are the top 3 risk factors that could lower yields?"

Exercise 2: Irrigation Schedule Optimization

Time: ~10 min · Level: Starter

📁 Your data file

Irrigation_Records.csv

Soil moisture, irrigation and rainfall amounts, and temperatures over a multi-week period. Use with your AI prompt to build an optimized schedule.

Sample (first row of the file):

date soil_moisture_pct irrigation_mm rainfall_mm temp_avg_c field_id
2024-07-01 61.4 21 0 23.5 F1

Column headers: date – record date; soil_moisture_pct – soil moisture as % of capacity; irrigation_mm – irrigation applied (mm); rainfall_mm – rainfall (mm); temp_avg_c – average temperature (°C); field_id – field identifier.

Scenario:

You want to optimize your irrigation schedule to reduce water usage while maintaining crop quality. You have soil moisture sensor data, weather forecasts, and historical irrigation records.

Example AI Prompt:

"Create an optimized 2-week irrigation schedule for my potato fields. Current soil moisture is at 65% capacity. The 14-day forecast shows 3 days of rain (15mm total) and average temperatures of 20°C. My historical records show I typically irrigate every 3 days with 25mm per application. Recommend a schedule that maintains soil moisture between 60-80% capacity while minimizing water usage. Explain the reasoning for each irrigation event."

What to Verify:

  • Ensure soil moisture targets align with potato growth stage requirements
  • Check that the schedule accounts for forecasted rainfall
  • Verify water amounts are appropriate for your irrigation system
  • Confirm the schedule is practical for your operation

Follow-up Questions:

  • "How would the schedule change if temperatures increase by 5°C?"
  • "What's the minimum soil moisture level before I need to irrigate?"
  • "How much water could I save compared to my current schedule?"

Exercise 3: Market Price Analysis

Time: ~10 min · Level: Intermediate

📁 Your data file

Potato_Prices_2020_2024.csv

Historical potato prices by date, variety, and region (2020–2024). Use as “attached data” when asking for selling-window recommendations.

Sample (first row of the file):

date price_per_ton_cad variety region
2020-01-08 392 Umatilla Russet Taber

Column headers: date – price observation date; price_per_ton_cad – price in Canadian dollars per ton; variety – potato variety; region – market or region (e.g. Southern Alberta, Lethbridge area).

Scenario:

You're deciding when to sell your stored potatoes. You have historical price data, current market prices, storage costs, and information about your crop quality and quantity.

Example AI Prompt:

"Analyze my historical potato prices from 2020-2024 (attached data) and current market conditions. I have 500 tons of stored Russet Burbank potatoes. Storage costs are $2/ton/month. Current market price is $450/ton. Recommend the optimal selling window over the next 4 months, considering price trends, storage costs, and quality degradation risk. Provide a risk assessment for each option."

What to Verify:

  • Check that historical price patterns are correctly interpreted
  • Verify storage cost calculations are accurate
  • Confirm market trend analysis aligns with your knowledge
  • Ensure quality degradation factors are considered

Follow-up Questions:

  • "What if I sell half now and half later?"
  • "How would a 10% price drop affect the recommendation?"
  • "What are the signs I should watch for to adjust timing?"

Exercise 4: Disease Identification and Treatment

Time: ~10 min · Level: Intermediate

📁 Reference data (optional)

Disease_Scenario_Notes.txt

Sample field notes: weather, irrigation, growth stage, and symptom description. Use with (or without) photos when prompting for disease ID. Always confirm with an agronomist.

Sample (excerpt):

FIELD & CROP:
- Variety: Russet Burbank
- Current growth stage: Flowering (approx. 8 weeks from planting)
- Field: East side | Soil type: Sandy loam

RECENT WEATHER: Avg temp 22°C, humidity 75%, rainfall 29 mm
IRRIGATION: Every 2 days, 26 mm per event
OBSERVATIONS: Brown spots with yellow halos on leaves (mid to lower canopy)

What the file contains: Structured notes in sections: FIELD & CROP (variety, planting date, growth stage, field, soil type); RECENT WEATHER (temps, humidity, rainfall, leaf wetness); IRRIGATION (schedule, application amount, last irrigation); OBSERVATIONS (symptoms, e.g. leaf spots, stem lesions). Paste this (and optionally attach photos) into your prompt for disease ID and treatment advice.

Scenario:

You've noticed some unusual spots on your potato leaves. You have photos of the affected plants, information about recent weather conditions, and your crop management records.

Example AI Prompt:

"I've attached photos of potato leaves showing brown spots with yellow halos. The plants are in the flowering stage, planted 8 weeks ago. Recent weather has been humid (75% average) with temperatures 18-22°C. I've been irrigating every 3 days. Identify the likely disease, explain why, recommend treatment options with cost estimates, and suggest prevention strategies for next season."

What to Verify:

  • Critical: Consult with an agricultural extension agent or agronomist to confirm diagnosis
  • Verify treatment recommendations align with local regulations
  • Check that cost estimates are realistic for your area
  • Ensure prevention strategies are practical for your operation

Follow-up Questions:

  • "What's the timeline for treatment effectiveness?"
  • "How can I prevent this from spreading to other fields?"
  • "What are the long-term impacts on yield if untreated?"

Exercise 5: Budget and Financial Planning

Time: ~10 min · Level: Intermediate

📁 Your data file

Expense_Records_2022_2024.csv

Expense records by category and year (2022–2024). Use as “attached” when asking for budget analysis and cost-saving opportunities.

Sample (first row of the file):

year category amount_cad notes
2022 Seed 55005 As planned

Column headers: year – season or fiscal year; category – expense category (e.g. Seed, Fertilizer, Fuel, Chemicals, Labour, Equipment repair, Irrigation, Storage, Transport); amount_cad – amount in Canadian dollars; notes – optional (e.g. As planned, Over budget).

Scenario:

You're planning next season's budget and want to optimize costs while maintaining quality. You have expense records from previous years, current input prices, and yield projections.

Example AI Prompt:

"Create a budget analysis for next season's potato crop. I have expense records from 2022-2024 (attached). Current fertilizer prices are up 15%, seed costs are stable, and fuel is up 8%. Target yield is 35 tons/hectare. Identify the top 3 cost-saving opportunities without compromising yield or quality. Provide a budget breakdown by category and compare to last year's actual costs."

What to Verify:

  • Double-check all calculations and price assumptions
  • Verify cost-saving recommendations are realistic and safe
  • Ensure budget categories match your accounting system
  • Confirm yield targets are achievable

Follow-up Questions:

  • "What's the break-even price per ton at this budget?"
  • "How would a 10% yield increase affect profitability?"
  • "What contingency should I budget for unexpected costs?"

Exercise 6: Business Analytics & Workflow

Time: ~10 min · Level: Starter

Based on questions from registrants: data input, synthesizing information, and using AI for admin and reporting.

📁 Your data file

Field_Scouting_Meeting_Notes.txt

Synthetic field scouting and meeting notes (Faker-generated). Use as “sample field notes” to practice turning raw notes into a short summary and traceable report format. You can also use your own notes or Disease_Scenario_Notes.txt.

Sample (excerpt):

Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026   Field: F29 – North block   Scout: Judith

RAW NOTES: No pest issues; soil moisture in North block lower; irrigation head at row 12 leaking – maintenance called; flowering nearly complete; tuber set looks even.

Actions: Follow up on fungicide timing; review irrigation with John; email agronomist re possible blight.
Meeting: Discussed harvest window – no decision yet; next site visit in five days.

What the file contains: Unstructured field and meeting notes: Date, Field, Scout (who and where); RAW NOTES – bullet points from scouting (pests, soil moisture, irrigation issues, crop stage); Actions / follow-up – rough to-do items; Meeting / call notes – decisions or next steps. Use this to practice having AI summarize into a short report and suggest a structure for future traceable notes.

Scenario:

You have rough notes from a field scouting visit or a meeting. You want a short, professional summary with clear action items and priorities—suitable for sharing with your agronomist or partner. You also want to see how AI can help you “input your data” so it can be analyzed or reported later.

Example AI Prompt:

"Summarize this field scouting report into a short summary (3–5 bullet points) with any recommended actions and priorities. Keep the tone professional and suitable for sharing with my agronomist or partner. Then suggest a simple structure (headings and key fields) I could use to turn future notes into traceable, report-ready format."

What to Verify:

  • Check that the summary reflects your notes accurately and doesn’t add unsupported conclusions
  • Ensure action items are practical and prioritized
  • Use the suggested structure as a starting point; adapt to your operation

Follow-up Questions:

  • "Draft a one-paragraph version for a quick email update."
  • "What fields would I need to fill in regularly to make this report traceable over time?"

Exercise 7: Finding AI/ML & Machine Vision Solutions

Time: ~10 min · Level: Intermediate

Based on questions from registrants: disease diagnostics, optical sorting, storage tools, and “searching for solutions” with AI.

📁 Reference (optional)

Machine_Vision_Search_Scenarios.txt

Sample scenarios (Faker-generated operation names and regions). Pick one and paste into your prompt, or use your own. Use AI to search and synthesize: find what’s available for disease ID from images, storage tools, or optical sorting and compare options.

Sample (one scenario from the file):

--- Scenario 1 ---
Operation: Doyle Ltd Farms
Region: Southern Alberta
Interest: I want a short overview of how AI and machine vision are used for plant disease identification from leaf images.

What the file contains: Several short scenarios, each with Operation (grower or business name), Region (e.g. Southern Alberta, Lethbridge area, Taber), and Interest – one of: disease ID from leaf images, potato storage management, or optical sorting in packing. Pick one scenario (or substitute your own) and paste it into your AI prompt when asking for an overview of tools and what to consider.

Scenario:

You’re interested in using AI for plant disease diagnostics (e.g. from leaf images) or in understanding what AI tools exist for potato storage or optical sorting. You want a concise overview of what’s out there, how it works in plain language, and what to consider before adopting.

Example AI Prompt:

"I'm a potato grower in Southern Alberta. Give me a short overview of how AI and machine vision are used for (choose one: plant disease identification from leaf images / potato storage management / optical sorting in packing). Include: what the technology does in plain language, 2–3 examples or product types if you know them, and what I should consider (cost, data, accuracy) before trying it. Keep it practical for a grower or operations manager."

What to Verify:

  • Cross-check product or tool names with a quick web search or the Resources page
  • Confirm that “how it works” matches what you’ve heard from extension or industry
  • Use the answer as a starting list; follow up with vendors or agronomists for your specific situation

Follow-up Questions:

  • "What data or equipment would I need to get started with [disease ID / storage AI / optical sorting]?"
  • "What are the main limitations or risks of using AI for this in potato production?"

Quality Assurance Checklist

Apply these checks to every AI recommendation:

  • Verify Facts: Check dates, amounts, measurements, and calculations
  • Check Completeness: Did the AI address all aspects of your question?
  • Apply Your Expertise: Does the recommendation align with your farming knowledge?
  • Consider Context: Is the advice appropriate for your specific operation?
  • Test Safely: Start with low-risk applications before scaling
  • Monitor Results: Track outcomes and adjust as needed
  • Consult Experts: For critical decisions (disease, major investments), verify with agricultural professionals

Next Steps

Now that you've reviewed these exercises, consider:

  • Identify one low-risk area in your operation where you could try an AI tool
  • Start collecting and organizing your data (yields, expenses, weather records)
  • Research AI tools designed for agriculture
  • Begin with simple questions and gradually increase complexity
  • Keep records of AI recommendations and actual outcomes to learn what works